Tuesday, April 12, 2005

Audacious prediction

Here it is: This sponsorship stuff is a tempest in a teacup. Here's another one: The polls, whether correct or not, are not an accurate indication of what will actually happen on election day, whenever that may be. The Harper-led Tories won't gain more than 10 seats in Ontario, and the Liberals will definitely not fall below 17 seats in Quebec.

The predictions you're starting to read now about the Liberals suffering a Kim Campbell-sized meltdown, being shut out of Quebec, gettting less seats than the NDP, etc., are all just so much digital noise. We don't really know that much more about the program now than we did last June, and it's hard to imagine people's interest in Jean Breault remaining at fever pitch all the way through an election campaign. I guess it just all boils down to which talking points the media decides to saturate people with... uhh, I mean report, from now until election day. Prediction: Liberal minority government.
Urban Pundit,
I'm taking bets on who will be the only Grit left standing, Charest-like, after the Cons. sweep.

I have Irwin Cotler at 2-1 and Tom Wappel at 5-2.

Any takers?

Promising blog, by the way.
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